State Seats (2008) - Kedah (updated)

PAS is not only confident of retaining its five state seats but to also bag more in this general election based on the support it has received.

PAS Kedah leader Amiruddin Hamzah, who will be defending his Anak Bukit state seat in the March 8 polls, claimed voters of all races are behind them.

"We are getting encouraging support from the Chinese and Indian communities - they are asking us to hold programmes. We will get their votes.

"Until now, the assessment reveals that our performance will be better than 2004. I don’t want to be overly optimistic but God willing, we will retain the seats and win more," he added.

Apart from Anak Bukit which Amiruddin won with a tissue-thin majority, the other four seats won by the Islamic-based opposition party in 2004 are Tokai, Belantek, Sungai Limau and Bukit Pinang.
...

As for the other seats which PAS is hoping to bag, Amiruddin said they are Ayer Hitam, Kota Seputeh, Alor Mengkudu, Pengkalan Kundur, Kubang Rotan, Kuala Ketil and Bayu.

- PAS Kedah confident of taking more seats

State Seats (2008) - Penang (updated)

Confidence in the heir apparent Dr Teng Hock Nan (centre), has not taken root, despite his years of grooming in the state executive council. In the past two years, the management of issues of transportation and land development – especially involving the controversial movement of the Turf Club for financial gain to actors outside of the state - has not inspired confidence, and employment generation and crime have not been effectively addressed.

The choice of medical doctor Teng over well-respected local urban planner Chia Kwang Chye and the dynamic hard-working lawyer Lee Kah Choon has raised questions about the leadership of the state.
- High stakes in Penang

Penang is shaping up to be a major battleground between the ruling Barisan Nasional coalition and the opposition in the 2008 general elections. After all, it is the home state of two key leaders - Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi and former deputy premier Anwar Ibrahim.

With a swing against the government among Chinese and Indian voters, the opposition is expected to pick up more seats at the expense of Gerakan, MCA and MIC - the three parties representing the two minority communities in BN.
- Showdown in Penang

Outgoing Penang chief minister Dr Koh Tsu Koon is expected to name state exco and Padang Kota state seat incumbent Teng Chang Yeow, 43, as his successor “within the next day or two”.

Sources said Koh appeared to have decided on Teng, a former political secretary of eight years, after coming under pressure from BN chairperson Abdullah Ahmad Badawi to make an announcement soon.
- A different Teng as Koh's successor? (1/3/08)

Parlimentary Seats (2008)- Selangor

Parlimentary Seats (2008)- Melaka

Parlimentary Seats (2008)- Sabah

Parlimentary Seats (2008)- Sarawak

Parlimentary Seats (2008)- Negeri Sembilan

Parlimentary Seats (2008)- Pahang

Parlimentary Seats (2008)- Perak

Parlimentary Seats (2008)- Penang

Parlimentary Seats (2008) - Terengganu

Parlimentary Seats (2008) - Kelantan

Parliamentary Seats (2008) - Kedah

In the 2004 elections, the opposition won only 1 parliamentary seat in Kedah - Pendang which PAS won by a miniscule majority of 50.

For 2008, the opposition stand a very good chance to win 5 of the parliamentary seats with another 5 seats within its grasp.

Parliamentary Seats (2008) - Perlis

The Arau parliamentary seat was won by the BN candidate in the 2004 elections with a majority of only 10% of voter turnout agaist Haron Din or PAS.

In 2008, the internal turmoil in UMNO in Perlis will work in favour of the opposition. It is highly likely that PAS will win the Arau seat this time around.

The other 2 parliamentary seats which will be defended by incumbents Azmi Khalid and Mohd Radzi Sheikh Ahmad should be relatively safe seats for UMNO. However, their majorities will most probably be reduced due to the dissatisfaction of some Perlis UMNO members.

cEramah II

Tony Pua positive of his chances in PJ Utara Anwar Ibrahim - Wangsa Maju Harris Ibrahim at DAP ceramah Sivarasa Rasiah - Parliamentary Candidate for Subang Elizabeth Wong - State Seat Candidate for Bukit Lanjan Azmi Sharom on the 12th General Election Charles Santiago is positive of his chances in Klang Anwar Ibrahim, PKR Lim Kit Siang mobbed by supporters Of petrol prices, multiracial stand and by-elections Full house at DAP ceramah

cEramah I

Intermission - Lingam's Devil Curry Just Change - DAP Tian Chua - PKR KJ John, Malaysiakini Columnist courtesy of Malaysiakini Sivarasa Rasiah, PKR Anwar Ibrahim, PKR courtesy of Malaysiakini

Parliamentary Seats (2008) - Federal Territories

The 2 hot seats to watch are the Kepong and Bukit Bintang parliamentary constituencies. The Opposition won both these seats in 2004 but with slim margins of 1,854 and 304 respectively.

Although the Opposition is expected to do better in 2008 and retain these seats it will still be tough fights. In Bukit Bintang, there will be a straight fight after MDP's Wee Cho Keong decided to contest in Wangsa Maju to prevent a 3-corner contest. This should be an advantage to the Opposition. However, the 6,000 postal voters in this constituency which tends to vote for the BN will be a big obstacle to the incumbent DAP candidate Fong Kui Lun.

If the Opposition can win the Wangsa Maju and Batu seats and retain the 4 seats it current holds, the Opposition can potentially get 6 seats parliamentary seats in Kuala Lumpur.

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Parliamentary Seats (2008) - Johor

It will be difficult for the opposition to make inroads in Johor in the 2008 elections. However, in Segamat, the swing of Indian voters may allow the opposition to capture this seat which is currently held by MIC. DAP's Pang Hok Liong will again be contesting against MIC's Dr S. Subramaniam.

Another seat to watch is Labis where Chua Soi Lek's son is running. Chua was the incumbent but has to resign from all his government positions after the release of the sex video.

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State Seats (Preview) - Summary

State Seats (Preview) - Kelantan

The four states where the opposition is expected to do well in the coming 2008 elections for the state seats are Kelantan, Trengganu, Kedah and Penang.

Kelantan is the only state where the opposition won a majority of the state seats in the last elections winning 24 out of the total of 45 state seats. In the 2008 elections, the opposition can be expected to do well in almost all the seats to be contested except for 2 seats, Paloh and Nenggiri.

It should be relative easy for the opposition to continue to rule the state with a possibility of winning 38 out of the 45 state seats.

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State Seats (Preview) - Terengganu

In 2004, BN won 28 out of the 32 state seats in Terengganu. However, in many of the seats the BN won only with slim majorities.

For the 2008 elections, it requires only a swing of less than 10% of the voter turnout for the opposition to win 22 of the states which will give it the majority to form the state government.

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State Seats (Preview) - Kedah

Kedah is another state where the opposition has a fighting change to garner a majority of the state seats in the coming elections even though it lost miserably in the 2004 elections winning only 5 out of the 36 state seats.

There are 17 seats where the BN won in 2004 with a majority of less than 20% of voter turnout. If there is a swing of 10% of the votes to the opposition in 2008, it is highly likely for the opposition to win these marginal seats. There is a good chance that the opposition can win up to a total of 18-22 seats to wrest the state from BN control for the first time.

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State Seats (Preview) - Penang

Penang has always been a hotspot during the elections. However, in 2004 BN swept almost all the 40 state seats except for 2 in Sungai Puyu and Permatang Pasir.

In 2008, there is a good chance for the opposition win 15 state seats with another 5 where it should be able to put up a good fight. It may be difficult for the opposition to win control of the state but nevertheless the coming election for the state seats will be keenly followed.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Summary

Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Federal Territories

In the 2004 elections, the opposition did quite well winning 4 out of the 11 parliamentary seats in Kuala Lumpur. The opposition should be able to retain the 4 seats in 2008 and perhaps capture another 2 more seats.

However, in both of the other 2 Federal Territories, Labuan and Putrajaya, which have 1 parliamentary seat each the BN won with comfortable margins in 2004. It will be difficult for the opposition to make much headway in both these seats in the 2008 elections.

The Putrajaya seat has only 5,079 voters with a turnout of 4,654 in the 2004 elections consisting mostly of civil servants. This is a example of gerrymandering where a parliamentary constituency which is pro-BN has only about 5,000 voters as compared to other constituencies won by the opposition having more than 70,000 voters such as the Ipoh Timor parliamentary seat won by DAP in 2004.

It is also interesting to note that in 2004 the Putrajaya seat was won by Tengku Adnan Tengku Mansor who was prominently mentioned in the Lingam video. There is speculation that he may not be nominated for this seat in the 2008 elections.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Johor

This state is a stronghold of BN where it won all the 26 parliamentary seats in the last elections.

The opposition is not expected to fare well in the 2008 elections. In Segamat, the swing of Indian voters may allow the opposition to capture this seat which is currently held by MIC.

Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Malacca

The opposition lost all the 8 parliamentary seats in Malacca in the 2004 elections.

In 2008, the opposition should be able to re-capture the Kota Melaka seat which it lost by a majority of only 219 votes. The prospects of the opposition winning in other parliamentary seats in this state is not so good.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Negri Sembilan

In the 2004 elections, the BN made a clean sweep of all the 8 parliamentary seats in Negri Sembilan.

It will be difficult for the opposition to prevent BN to win the majority of the seats in 2008. However, it has a good chance in the parliamentary seat, Rasah and a fighting chance in Seremban.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Selangor

The opposition did badly in Selangor in the 2004 elections with the BN capturing all the 22 parliamentary seats.

In the 2008 elections, the opposition should be able to win 4 seats with another 6 where it should be able to put up tough fights.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Pahang

The BN swept all the 14 seats in this state with relatively large majorities.

In the 2008 elections, the opposition are not expected to do much better. It has a good chance of winning 1 parliamentary seat with another 4 where it should be able to put up a good fight.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Perak

In the 2004 elections the opposition won only 3 seats out of a total of 24 parliamentary seats.

However, in the upcoming elections the opposition should be able to increase the number of seats to 7. There should be close contests in another 8 other parliamentary seats.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Penang

Penang is another state where the opposition is expected to do well. In the 2004 elections when the BN was riding on Badawi's popularity, the opposition managed to win 5 out of the 13 parliamentary.

It should not be difficult for the opposition to retain these 5 seats in the 2008 elections. There is even a good possibility for the opposition to win another 2-3 parliamentary seats.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Terengganu

The BN won all the 8 parliamentary seats in Terengganu in the 2004 elections.

The opposition should be able to win back at least 4 seats in the 2008 elections with a good chance of winning another 3 seats for a total of 7 out of 8 seats for the opposition.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Kelantan

There are 14 parliamentary seats in Kelantan. In the 2004 elections, the BN managed to capture 8 of the parliamentary seats but with slim majorities.

In the 2008 elections, there should be a swing of votes back to PAS with a possibility of PAS winning 12 out of the 14 parliamentary seats.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Kedah

In the 2004 elections, there were close contests in 10 out of the 15 parliamentary seats with majorities of 20% or less of the voter turnout. BN eventually won all the parliamentary seats except for one - Pendang which PAS won by a miniscule majority of 50.

In this coming elections, the opposition should be able to capture more seats with a good chance for them to win 10-11 seats.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Perlis

Perlis has only 3 parliamentary seats one of which was closely fought in the 2004 elections. In the Arau seat, the BN candidate, Syed Razlan Syed Putra won by a majority of only 10% of voter turnout against Haron Din of PAS.

In is interesting to note that the incumbent MPs for the Padang Besar and Kangar seats Azmi Khalid and Mohd Radzi Sheikh Ahmad may not be nominated to defend their seats because of their differences with the Perlis Mentri Besar.

There is a good possibility of the opposition winning 1 parliamentary seat in this state.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Sarawak

Sarawak has a total of 28 parliamentary seats in the 2004 elections and BN won all the seats except for 1 won by DAP in Bandar Kuching.

In the 2008 elections, the parliamentary seats have been increased to 31. Based on the 2004 elections winning margins, there is a very good possibility for the Opposition and Independents to win more seats, perhaps even up to 8-11 of the seats.

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Parliamentary Seats (Preview) - Sabah

There are 25 parliamentary seats in Sabah. Just like Sarawak, the BN won all except one of the seats in the 2004 elections.

The opposition has expressed confidence in making some headway in this state. Looking at the previous election results there is a fighting chance for the Opposition and Independents to win 5-6 seats.

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